Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 4.838395 5.234080 5.671153 6.194726 6.811764 7.524939 8.425640
2025-01-26 4.431914 4.977146 5.623819 6.465994 7.564548 8.998985 11.112906
2025-02-02 4.265236 4.958878 5.839577 7.089381 8.916012 11.694160 16.820472
2025-02-09 3.995725 4.770113 5.807479 7.389651 9.955527 14.523852 25.717411
2025-02-16 3.736267 4.556926 5.706271 7.573513 10.915517 17.964260 43.657981
2025-02-23 3.482752 4.318884 5.531866 7.608453 11.666525 21.833354 88.893189
2025-03-02 3.191552 3.995430 5.185612 7.287978 11.631008 23.921208 187.574024
2025-03-09 2.994681 3.789331 4.993575 7.200514 12.082437 28.420880 NaN
2025-03-16 2.773526 3.527898 4.684307 6.843245 11.793511 30.058239 NaN
2025-03-23 2.658980 3.416982 4.605597 6.909273 12.606139 39.151930 NaN
2025-03-30 2.534469 3.280353 4.468841 6.835566 13.035553 48.749073 NaN
2025-04-06 2.393159 3.107773 4.255000 6.569186 12.805657 53.262676 NaN
2025-04-13 2.239741 2.917778 4.014116 6.253365 12.459044 58.285307 NaN
2025-04-20 2.192693 2.892888 4.058277 6.564400 14.415118 145.473501 NaN
2025-04-27 2.189358 2.938081 4.234611 7.237287 18.721492 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.141230 2.905369 4.263655 7.575230 22.425958 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.082923 2.850771 4.244262 7.788414 26.212408 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.014779 2.774229 4.172852 7.841203 29.330568 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.920539 2.646573 3.986255 7.514546 28.536137 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.854182 2.564154 3.885538 7.430575 30.281654 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.769747 2.445699 3.701641 7.058831 28.356984 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.727094 2.398846 3.662576 7.133149 32.035455 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 1.676239 2.334633 3.581695 7.058477 33.928536 NaN NaN